Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 23

Season: 302-343 (46.8%) · ROI: -1.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 8:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 6:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+6.7%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$27.92
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs Cleveland Guardians · 5:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.5%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$31.22
Seattle Mariners away
vs Kansas City Royals · 6:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.0%
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$35.69
Washington Nationals away
vs Atlanta Braves · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+3.7% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Athletics away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.1%
Odds
+141
Book
Stake
$17.72
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 4:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
+136
Book
Stake
$14.17
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs Colorado Rockies · 2:10 AM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+1.0%
Odds
-191
Book
Stake
$7.52
Updated 11:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice