Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 16

Season: 261-301 (46.4%) · ROI: -2.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
New York Yankees away
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.3%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$55.59
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 10:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+3.7% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Chicago Cubs away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+3.6%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$18.91
Kansas City Royals away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Houston Astros home
vs Texas Rangers · 11:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+2.5%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
+126
Book
Stake
$11.00
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.2% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+1.1%
Odds
-168
Book
Stake
$7.66
Updated 2:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice