Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Apr 22

Season: 103-128 (44.6%) · ROI: -0.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 6:10 PM
Prob
74.1%
Edge
+18.4%
+17.5% consensus
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$103.78
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Chicago Cubs · 11:40 PM
Prob
55.9%
Edge
+15.2%
Odds
+146
Book
Stake
$64.07
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 7:07 PM
Prob
74.3%
Edge
+15.1%
+14.1% consensus
Odds
-145
Book
Stake
$92.53
Colorado Rockies home
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
51.2%
Edge
+8.9%
+8.2% consensus
Odds
+136
Book
Stake
$38.51
Updated 5:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice