Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Apr 14

Season: 72-87 (45.3%) · ROI: +4.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
66.1%
Edge
+17.8%
+16.5% consensus
Odds
+107
Book
Stake
$86.24
Colorado Rockies away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
55.0%
Edge
+15.6%
+15.0% consensus
Odds
+154
Book
Stake
$64.53
New York Mets away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
50.5%
Edge
+14.2%
+13.5% consensus
Odds
+175
Book
Stake
$55.65
Boston Red Sox away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
70.8%
Edge
+13.9%
+13.0% consensus
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$80.76
San Francisco Giants away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 10:40 PM
Prob
62.9%
Edge
+12.4%
+11.6% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$62.49
Cleveland Guardians away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
64.5%
Edge
+9.6%
+8.7% consensus
Odds
-122
Book
Stake
$53.03
Seattle Mariners away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
62.0%
Edge
+7.2%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$39.99
New York Yankees home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 11:05 PM
Prob
70.4%
Edge
+6.7%
Odds
-176
Book
Stake
$45.97
Updated 9:00 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice