Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 16

Season: 411-475 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.7%
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$52.87
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Miami Marlins away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.9% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
Houston Astros home
vs Detroit Tigers · 12:10 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.1%
Odds
-148
Book
Stake
$25.44
San Francisco Giants away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+3.3% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Texas Rangers home
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:05 AM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.7%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
-134
Book
Stake
$21.50
San Diego Padres away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Updated 11:50 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice