Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 22

Season: 590-668 (46.9%) · ROI: -3.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+12.5%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$52.73
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:07 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.9%
+8.2% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$39.85
Athletics away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 7:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs New York Mets · 6:10 PM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+5.9%
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$37.52
Texas Rangers home
vs Chicago White Sox · 12:05 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$27.23
Miami Marlins away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Washington Nationals away
vs Colorado Rockies · 7:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
-144
Book
Stake
$29.36
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Seattle Mariners · 7:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+4.2% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Minnesota Twins · 10:40 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$18.57
Updated 9:00 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice