Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jul 23

Season: 598-675 (47.0%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Angels away
vs San Francisco Giants · 2:15 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.0%
+4.7% consensus
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$24.69
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.2%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
-142
Book
Stake
$31.17
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Cincinnati Reds away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Colorado Rockies away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 8:10 PM
Prob
36.2%
Edge
+3.6%
+2.7% consensus
Odds
+207
Book
Stake
$13.52
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.6%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$8.91
Updated 12:25 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice