Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 23

Season: 442-517 (46.1%) · ROI: -4.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+6.9% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$31.74
Washington Nationals home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:45 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+5.7%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$23.19
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.7%
Odds
-139
Book
Stake
$33.88
Texas Rangers away
vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.8%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$16.33
Boston Red Sox away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.42
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 11:45 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.2%
Odds
-109
Book
Stake
$11.53
New York Yankees away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.6%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$8.91
Updated 10:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice