Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Apr 6

Season: 43-51 (45.7%) · ROI: +9.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM
Prob
58.4%
Edge
+12.9%
+11.5% consensus
Odds
+122
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$60.62
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
61.8%
Edge
+9.8%
+8.4% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
BetOnline.ag
Stake
$51.15
Colorado Rockies home
vs Houston Astros · 12:40 AM
Prob
50.9%
Edge
+9.5%
+8.6% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$45.25
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Atlanta Braves · 1:38 AM
Prob
48.1%
Edge
+8.1%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+156
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$37.04
Chicago Cubs away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 8:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+7.0%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+113
Book
Kalshi
Stake
$35.26
Updated 7:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice