Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jul 7

Season: 520-595 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Athletics away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+10.1%
Odds
+181
Book
Stake
$39.02
Atlanta Braves away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
+9.0% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Kansas City Royals away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.4%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$42.04
New York Yankees away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Colorado Rockies away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
36.2%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+240
Book
Stake
$24.11
Chicago White Sox home
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.7%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$32.17
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.8%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$28.90
Cincinnati Reds home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:10 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$18.50
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.6%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$8.91
Updated 8:10 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice