Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 1

Season: 492-567 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
+7.9% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.7% consensus
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$33.46
Minnesota Twins away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 12:10 AM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+5.9%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$37.52
San Francisco Giants away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+5.2% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
San Diego Padres away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.2%
+4.5% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$25.15
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs New York Mets · 7:07 PM
Prob
55.0%
Edge
+3.8%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$19.38
Miami Marlins away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.8%
+2.7% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$23.94
Washington Nationals away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.4%
+0.8% consensus
Odds
+126
Book
Stake
$6.24
Updated 3:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice