Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 18

Season: 571-640 (47.1%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Diego Padres away
vs Kansas City Royals · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.6%
+5.5% consensus
Odds
+114
Book
Stake
$30.84
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 5:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.5%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$31.22
San Francisco Giants away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.4%
+5.3% consensus
Odds
+155
Book
Stake
$26.42
San Francisco Giants away
vs Seattle Mariners · 12:08 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.3%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
+148
Book
Stake
$22.28
Minnesota Twins away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.7% consensus
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$19.07
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Chicago White Sox · 4:15 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.6% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Houston Astros · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Athletics home
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.9%
+0.7% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$8.42
Colorado Rockies home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 7:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.2%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$5.71
Updated 3:10 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice