Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 28

Season: 471-546 (46.3%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Seattle Mariners away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 5:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Miami Marlins away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
San Francisco Giants home
vs Atlanta Braves · 8:05 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+6.0%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$24.29
New York Yankees away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:20 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs New York Mets · 5:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.42
Houston Astros away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
Minnesota Twins home
vs Colorado Rockies · 6:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+1.7%
Odds
-164
Book
Stake
$10.95
Updated 8:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice