Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, May 14

Season: 252-290 (46.5%) · ROI: -2.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Diego Padres away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 5:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.8%
+9.1% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$43.44
Miami Marlins away
vs Minnesota Twins · 5:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.5%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+108
Book
Stake
$36.03
San Francisco Giants away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$23.50
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Athletics · 7:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Washington Nationals away
vs Cincinnati Reds · 4:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Boston Red Sox · 10:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+0.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$2.49
Updated 2:55 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice