Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 4

Season: 508-582 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Texas Rangers home
vs Detroit Tigers · 8:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.8%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
+106
Book
Stake
$28.26
Washington Nationals home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 3:05 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+5.0%
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$21.57
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:08 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+2.5% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Minnesota Twins away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.8%
Odds
+139
Book
Stake
$16.33
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Boston Red Sox away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+1.7%
Odds
-164
Book
Stake
$11.28
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 1:40 AM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+0.6%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$2.58
Updated 12:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice