Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jul 4

Season: 508-582 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Francisco Giants away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:10 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
Texas Rangers home
vs Detroit Tigers · 8:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$27.23
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Seattle Mariners · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+3.6% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Kansas City Royals · 12:10 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.42
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:08 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Houston Astros · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.8%
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$14.17
Minnesota Twins away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Boston Red Sox away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+1.7%
Odds
-164
Book
Stake
$11.28
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 1:40 AM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+1.7%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$7.44
Updated 8:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice