Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 1

Season: 494-570 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs New York Mets · 7:07 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.9%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$58.03
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Minnesota Twins away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.4%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$34.31
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 12:10 AM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+5.9%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$37.52
San Francisco Giants away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Miami Marlins away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.42
Updated 9:15 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice