Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, May 1

Season: 192-206 (48.2%) · ROI: +0.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$33.46
Baltimore Orioles away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:10 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.7% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Houston Astros away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Texas Rangers away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.0%
+2.7% consensus
Odds
+103
Book
Stake
$19.90
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.2%
Odds
-154
Book
Stake
$20.32
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.7%
+1.5% consensus
Odds
+133
Book
Stake
$11.92
Updated 7:55 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice