Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Apr 20

Season: 95-119 (44.4%) · ROI: -0.1%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals home
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:40 PM
Prob
63.6%
Edge
+12.7%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$64.61
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.3%
Edge
+10.5%
+9.0% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$47.49
Tampa Bay Rays home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 10:40 PM
Prob
63.6%
Edge
+10.1%
+8.9% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$54.51
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.6%
Edge
+9.7%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$52.75
Updated 9:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice