Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Mon, Jun 29

Season: 477-553 (46.3%) · ROI: -3.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs New York Mets · 11:07 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.0%
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.36
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
New York Yankees home
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:05 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-143
Book
Stake
$12.71
Texas Rangers away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 11:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.4%
Odds
+126
Book
Stake
$6.24
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
45.0%
Edge
+1.1%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$5.08
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
36.2%
Edge
+0.6%
Odds
+181
Book
Stake
$2.46
Updated 12:55 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice