Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 23

Season: 442-517 (46.1%) · ROI: -4.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Athletics away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.0% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$42.29
Kansas City Royals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Chicago Cubs away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
Colorado Rockies home
vs Boston Red Sox · 12:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+5.0%
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$21.57
Texas Rangers away
vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.42
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
+1.8% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 11:45 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.2%
+1.7% consensus
Odds
-109
Book
Stake
$11.53
Updated 2:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice