Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jun 17

Season: 416-481 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cincinnati Reds home
vs New York Mets · 4:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+7.8%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$36.68
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 7:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.7% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Chicago White Sox away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 7:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.6% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Houston Astros home
vs Detroit Tigers · 6:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.6%
+2.7% consensus
Odds
-103
Book
Stake
$18.38
Updated 10:00 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice