Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Apr 24

Season: 110-137 (44.5%) · ROI: -1.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Colorado Rockies away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+10.5%
+9.7% consensus
Odds
+195
Book
Stake
$39.87
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.5%
Edge
+8.6%
+8.0% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$39.94
Cincinnati Reds home
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.5%
Edge
+8.2%
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$38.28
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Seattle Mariners · 12:15 AM
Prob
48.9%
Edge
+7.7%
+6.5% consensus
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$32.79
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs Cleveland Guardians · 11:07 PM
Prob
54.5%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$32.94
Updated 5:45 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice