Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 23

Season: 302-341 (47.0%) · ROI: -1.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.3%
+9.5% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$55.59
Boston Red Sox home
vs Minnesota Twins · 8:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.0%
Odds
-126
Book
Stake
$45.36
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 8:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 6:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+6.7%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
+150
Book
Stake
$27.92
Seattle Mariners away
vs Kansas City Royals · 6:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.0%
Odds
-137
Book
Stake
$35.69
Washington Nationals away
vs Atlanta Braves · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+3.7% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Athletics away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.1%
Odds
+141
Book
Stake
$17.72
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 4:15 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
+136
Book
Stake
$14.17
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Francisco Giants · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.6%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
-103
Book
Stake
$13.00
Arizona Diamondbacks home
vs Colorado Rockies · 2:10 AM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+1.0%
Odds
-191
Book
Stake
$7.52
Updated 10:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice