Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jun 24

Season: 457-527 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Athletics away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.0%
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$42.29
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$33.46
Houston Astros away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Chicago Cubs away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
New York Yankees away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.0%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
-155
Book
Stake
$19.42
Texas Rangers away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.8%
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$7.93
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Seattle Mariners · 4:35 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.7%
Odds
+122
Book
Stake
$7.53
Updated 3:50 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice