Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, May 3

Season: 206-220 (48.4%) · ROI: +1.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Athletics · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.1%
Odds
-121
Book
Stake
$50.16
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+6.6% consensus
Odds
+165
Book
Stake
$31.74
Los Angeles Angels home
vs New York Mets · 8:07 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+7.4%
Odds
+113
Book
Stake
$34.93
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Washington Nationals · 5:35 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.6%
Odds
-134
Book
Stake
$38.41
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.6% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Houston Astros away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Texas Rangers away
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Miami Marlins home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 5:40 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+2.8%
+1.8% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$12.65
Atlanta Braves away
vs Colorado Rockies · 7:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.7%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
-157
Book
Stake
$17.61
Updated 1:30 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice