Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Apr 15

Season: 74-96 (43.5%) · ROI: -0.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
62.5%
Edge
+15.8%
+14.9% consensus
Odds
+114
Book
Stake
$73.97
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
65.5%
Edge
+12.7%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$67.31
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:40 PM
Prob
56.6%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.4% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$43.10
New York Mets away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
43.9%
Edge
+7.3%
Odds
+173
Book
Stake
$28.76
Cincinnati Reds home
vs San Francisco Giants · 10:40 PM
Prob
58.1%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$35.31
Updated 8:20 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice