Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jun 26

Season: 462-532 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+10.1%
Odds
+126
Book
Stake
$45.34
San Diego Padres home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+9.9%
+8.8% consensus
Odds
+172
Book
Stake
$39.28
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs New York Mets · 8:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.7%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$44.75
Kansas City Royals away
vs Chicago White Sox · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.4%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$42.04
New York Yankees away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Atlanta Braves away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:05 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$43.12
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Minnesota Twins home
vs Colorado Rockies · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.3%
+4.9% consensus
Odds
-135
Book
Stake
$37.21
Kansas City Royals away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.1%
+5.6% consensus
Odds
+112
Book
Stake
$29.01
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.1%
+5.2% consensus
Odds
+153
Book
Stake
$25.28
Miami Marlins away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+3.6%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$18.91
Texas Rangers away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Athletics away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Seattle Mariners away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.6%
Odds
-107
Book
Stake
$8.33
Updated 1:25 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice