Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jun 20

Season: 426-503 (45.9%) · ROI: -4.9%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Houston Astros · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.1%
+7.8% consensus
Odds
+126
Book
Stake
$40.59
Cincinnati Reds away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.0%
Odds
+173
Book
Stake
$35.55
San Diego Padres away
vs Texas Rangers · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.2% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Washington Nationals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 8:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Atlanta Braves · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.6%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+114
Book
Stake
$30.84
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Athletics · 2:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Colorado Rockies home
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 1:10 AM
Prob
40.2%
Edge
+3.6%
Odds
+173
Book
Stake
$14.24
Updated 1:00 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice