Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 30

Season: 483-559 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+11.7%
+10.8% consensus
Odds
+195
Book
Stake
$44.41
Toronto Blue Jays home
vs New York Mets · 11:07 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.2%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$50.79
Chicago White Sox away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.5%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$38.33
Washington Nationals away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Texas Rangers · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.9%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$24.04
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
-145
Book
Stake
$28.46
Houston Astros home
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:10 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.4%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$21.80
New York Yankees home
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:05 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.5%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-135
Book
Stake
$20.52
San Diego Padres away
vs Chicago Cubs · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.4%
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$7.80
Updated 4:05 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice