Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 29

Season: 629-697 (47.4%) · ROI: -2.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.7%
+8.8% consensus
Odds
-118
Book
Stake
$52.87
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 4:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.2%
Odds
+117
Book
Stake
$33.46
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.6% consensus
Odds
+210
Book
Stake
$25.10
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.4%
+4.8% consensus
Odds
+155
Book
Stake
$26.42
Washington Nationals home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 5:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.1%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
+107
Book
Stake
$29.26
San Francisco Giants home
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 1:45 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+5.0%
+3.1% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$21.57
Chicago White Sox home
vs New York Yankees · 11:40 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.6%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$15.80
San Diego Padres home
vs Colorado Rockies · 8:10 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
-136
Book
Stake
$19.55
Boston Red Sox away
vs Athletics · 1:40 AM
Prob
62.2%
Edge
+3.0%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
-145
Book
Stake
$18.48
Chicago Cubs away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.6%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$8.91
Updated 4:20 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice