Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Thu, Jun 18

Season: 422-491 (46.2%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Diego Padres away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:05 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.6%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$46.12
Philadelphia Phillies home
vs New York Mets · 10:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.2%
+8.6% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$50.79
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs Colorado Rockies · 12:40 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
Chicago White Sox away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Minnesota Twins away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:45 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.7%
Odds
+144
Book
Stake
$19.72
Washington Nationals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.3% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Updated 1:30 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice