Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jun 27

Season: 468-540 (46.4%) · ROI: -3.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
San Diego Padres home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:40 AM
Prob
47.4%
Edge
+11.7%
+10.4% consensus
Odds
+180
Book
Stake
$45.33
Chicago Cubs away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 11:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+10.7%
+10.0% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$46.77
Miami Marlins away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:15 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.7%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$44.75
Minnesota Twins home
vs Colorado Rockies · 11:10 PM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+9.2%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
-135
Book
Stake
$54.19
Atlanta Braves away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:05 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.0%
+7.9% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$42.29
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.5%
+7.4% consensus
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$38.33
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 5:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+7.2%
+4.5% consensus
Odds
+160
Book
Stake
$29.16
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
Washington Nationals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
-101
Book
Stake
$15.33
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Athletics · 1:38 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Updated 12:25 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice