Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jun 23

Season: 442-517 (46.1%) · ROI: -4.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Athletics away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:45 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.7%
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$44.75
Kansas City Royals away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
Chicago Cubs away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.3%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$22.24
Texas Rangers away
vs Miami Marlins · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Colorado Rockies home
vs Boston Red Sox · 12:40 AM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+2.8%
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$11.89
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 11:45 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.0%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
-110
Book
Stake
$10.39
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+0.9%
+0.2% consensus
Odds
-170
Book
Stake
$5.85
Updated 7:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice