Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jul 24

Season: 598-676 (46.9%) · ROI: -3.5%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:15 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.6%
+4.0% consensus
Odds
-145
Book
Stake
$28.46
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.3%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
+104
Book
Stake
$20.99
Cincinnati Reds away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Colorado Rockies away
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 8:10 PM
Prob
36.2%
Edge
+3.6%
Odds
+207
Book
Stake
$13.52
Atlanta Braves away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.3%
+2.8% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$16.50
Updated 1:01 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice