Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jun 14

Season: 406-463 (46.7%) · ROI: -3.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:07 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+10.3%
+9.7% consensus
Odds
-115
Book
Stake
$55.59
New York Yankees away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 5:37 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.5% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.54
Chicago Cubs away
vs San Francisco Giants · 7:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Houston Astros away
vs Kansas City Royals · 6:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.9% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$33.09
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Minnesota Twins · 6:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.6%
+4.6% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$27.80
San Diego Padres away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.5%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$26.14
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 6:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.9%
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$24.04
Seattle Mariners away
vs Washington Nationals · 5:35 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.6%
Odds
-145
Book
Stake
$28.46
Texas Rangers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.3%
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$11.83
Updated 11:25 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice