Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Jun 26

Season: 462-531 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
New York Yankees away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+11.0%
+10.1% consensus
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$58.30
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.4% consensus
Odds
+173
Book
Stake
$35.55
Washington Nationals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
+7.2% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Kansas City Royals away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.6%
+5.7% consensus
Odds
+114
Book
Stake
$30.84
Miami Marlins away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+5.1%
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$25.58
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs New York Mets · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+2.7%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
-157
Book
Stake
$17.61
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Atlanta Braves away
vs San Francisco Giants · 2:15 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.0%
+0.4% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$5.58
Updated 1:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice