Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 22

Season: 587-667 (46.8%) · ROI: -3.8%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs New York Yankees · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+12.5%
+6.8% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$52.73
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:07 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.2% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$42.29
Miami Marlins away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+107
Book
Stake
$35.07
Pittsburgh Pirates away
vs New York Yankees · 5:05 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
+6.3% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs New York Mets · 6:10 PM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+6.8%
+7.3% consensus
Odds
-149
Book
Stake
$42.52
Washington Nationals away
vs Colorado Rockies · 7:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.4%
+5.3% consensus
Odds
-135
Book
Stake
$37.50
San Diego Padres away
vs Atlanta Braves · 11:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.8%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$18.79
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
+2.6% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Seattle Mariners · 7:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Texas Rangers home
vs Chicago White Sox · 12:05 AM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 11:07 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.6% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Updated 3:35 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice