Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Apr 22

Season: 104-131 (44.3%) · ROI: -1.6%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Chicago Cubs · 11:40 PM
Prob
58.9%
Edge
+20.1%
+19.3% consensus
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$82.14
Los Angeles Angels home
vs Toronto Blue Jays · 7:07 PM
Prob
74.3%
Edge
+16.8%
+14.3% consensus
Odds
-135
Book
Stake
$98.95
Atlanta Braves away
vs Washington Nationals · 10:45 PM
Prob
70.5%
Edge
+10.6%
+9.9% consensus
Odds
-150
Book
Stake
$65.94
Chicago White Sox away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.1%
Edge
+10.5%
+9.5% consensus
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$45.90
Colorado Rockies home
vs San Diego Padres · 12:40 AM
Prob
51.4%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.8% consensus
Odds
+138
Book
Stake
$40.28
Detroit Tigers home
vs Milwaukee Brewers · 10:40 PM
Prob
64.2%
Edge
+7.7%
+7.2% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$44.44
Updated 8:55 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice