Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 2

Season: 203-219 (48.1%) · ROI: +0.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Baltimore Orioles away
vs New York Yankees · 5:35 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+10.1%
+9.4% consensus
Odds
+181
Book
Stake
$39.02
Kansas City Royals away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.9%
+8.0% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$39.85
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Minnesota Twins · 4:45 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.8% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$23.36
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.4% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Miami Marlins home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 5:40 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
+1.9% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
St. Louis Cardinals home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 6:15 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+1.9%
Odds
+123
Book
Stake
$8.42
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Athletics · 8:05 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.6%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$8.91
Updated 2:00 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice