Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 8

Season: 525-602 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 2:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.9%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$39.85
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.0% consensus
Odds
+107
Book
Stake
$35.07
Colorado Rockies away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
39.1%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
+215
Book
Stake
$26.79
Miami Marlins home
vs Seattle Mariners · 10:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+6.5%
Odds
+109
Book
Stake
$31.22
Chicago Cubs away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+5.7%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$27.11
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.0%
Odds
-149
Book
Stake
$24.84
Texas Rangers home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 12:05 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+3.9%
+3.3% consensus
Odds
-149
Book
Stake
$24.53
New York Yankees away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Chicago White Sox home
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$8.11
Updated 8:15 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice