Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, Jun 27

Season: 465-536 (46.5%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs New York Mets · 8:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.9%
+9.3% consensus
Odds
+119
Book
Stake
$45.54
San Diego Padres home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:40 AM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+9.9%
+9.0% consensus
Odds
+172
Book
Stake
$39.28
Kansas City Royals away
vs Chicago White Sox · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+9.4%
+8.3% consensus
Odds
+128
Book
Stake
$42.04
New York Yankees away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.5% consensus
Odds
-120
Book
Stake
$51.06
Atlanta Braves away
vs San Francisco Giants · 1:05 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.3%
+8.6% consensus
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$43.12
Minnesota Twins home
vs Colorado Rockies · 11:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.1% consensus
Odds
-135
Book
Stake
$37.21
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 8:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+4.9%
+4.1% consensus
Odds
+102
Book
Stake
$24.04
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 10:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.0% consensus
Odds
+143
Book
Stake
$19.07
Washington Nationals away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 11:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+4.0% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Cleveland Guardians home
vs Seattle Mariners · 11:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+2.5%
Odds
+126
Book
Stake
$11.00
Updated 4:25 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice