Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 16

Season: 261-301 (46.4%) · ROI: -2.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
New York Yankees away
vs New York Mets · 11:15 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
-132
Book
Stake
$40.21
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 10:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.3%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
+154
Book
Stake
$25.85
Kansas City Royals away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+3.5%
Odds
+101
Book
Stake
$17.66
Chicago Cubs away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+2.7%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$14.47
Houston Astros home
vs Texas Rangers · 11:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+2.5%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
+126
Book
Stake
$11.00
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.1%
+1.2% consensus
Odds
-105
Book
Stake
$10.66
Philadelphia Phillies away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+1.6%
+0.8% consensus
Odds
-165
Book
Stake
$10.37
Updated 12:25 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice