Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, May 3

Season: 208-225 (48.0%) · ROI: +0.2%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Athletics · 8:05 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.0% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$46.54
Los Angeles Angels home
vs New York Mets · 8:07 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+7.8%
+7.2% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$36.68
Atlanta Braves away
vs Colorado Rockies · 7:10 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+5.5%
+5.0% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$32.98
Chicago White Sox away
vs San Diego Padres · 8:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.8%
+3.9% consensus
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$20.38
Texas Rangers away
vs Detroit Tigers · 11:20 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Chicago Cubs · 6:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
+2.4% consensus
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Seattle Mariners home
vs Kansas City Royals · 8:10 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.4%
+1.4% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$12.67
Updated 8:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice