Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Tue, Jul 21

Season: 583-659 (46.9%) · ROI: -3.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
St. Louis Cardinals away
vs Los Angeles Angels · 1:38 AM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+11.0%
Odds
-112
Book
Stake
$58.30
Miami Marlins away
vs Houston Astros · 12:10 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.7%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
+118
Book
Stake
$44.75
Milwaukee Brewers home
vs New York Mets · 11:40 PM
Prob
66.7%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.6% consensus
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$50.02
Seattle Mariners home
vs Cincinnati Reds · 1:40 AM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+7.7%
Odds
-114
Book
Stake
$41.03
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.0%
Odds
+116
Book
Stake
$32.60
Kansas City Royals home
vs San Francisco Giants · 11:40 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+2.7%
+2.1% consensus
Odds
-107
Book
Stake
$13.81
Athletics away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+1.4%
+0.8% consensus
Odds
+126
Book
Stake
$6.24
Updated 4:20 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice