Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Wed, Jul 8

Season: 525-602 (46.6%) · ROI: -3.4%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Cleveland Guardians away
vs Minnesota Twins · 11:40 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+9.0%
+8.5% consensus
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$42.29
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs San Diego Padres · 2:10 AM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.9%
+8.1% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$39.85
Chicago Cubs away
vs Baltimore Orioles · 10:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+7.9%
+7.2% consensus
Odds
+110
Book
Stake
$37.90
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 11:45 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+7.3%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
-130
Book
Stake
$42.02
Los Angeles Angels away
vs Texas Rangers · 12:05 AM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+4.0%
+2.9% consensus
Odds
+140
Book
Stake
$17.03
Washington Nationals home
vs Houston Astros · 10:45 PM
Prob
60.9%
Edge
+3.7%
+3.2% consensus
Odds
-134
Book
Stake
$21.50
Athletics away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+3.1%
Odds
+135
Book
Stake
$13.43
Updated 4:55 AM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice