Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Apr 10

Season: 58-63 (47.9%) · ROI: +11.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Chicago White Sox away
vs Kansas City Royals · 11:40 PM
Prob
58.2%
Edge
+19.0%
+18.4% consensus
Odds
+155
Book
Stake
$78.29
Boston Red Sox away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 12:15 AM
Prob
70.0%
Edge
+11.6%
Odds
-140
Book
Stake
$69.82
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 10:40 PM
Prob
50.7%
Edge
+11.5%
+10.8% consensus
Odds
+155
Book
Stake
$47.36
Miami Marlins away
vs Detroit Tigers · 10:40 PM
Prob
55.0%
Edge
+10.6%
+9.8% consensus
Odds
+125
Book
Stake
$47.50
Colorado Rockies away
vs San Diego Padres · 1:40 AM
Prob
48.7%
Edge
+9.0%
+9.5% consensus
Odds
+152
Book
Stake
$37.33
Texas Rangers away
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 2:10 AM
Prob
40.4%
Edge
+7.6%
+6.6% consensus
Odds
+205
Book
Stake
$28.35
Updated 7:50 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice