Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sun, Jul 26

Season: 614-683 (47.3%) · ROI: -2.7%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
New York Yankees away
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 11:20 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+8.6%
+7.4% consensus
Odds
+170
Book
Stake
$34.16
Chicago Cubs away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.3%
+7.2% consensus
Odds
+122
Book
Stake
$37.55
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Boston Red Sox · 5:35 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+8.3%
Odds
+122
Book
Stake
$37.55
Kansas City Royals away
vs Detroit Tigers · 5:40 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+6.9%
Odds
+158
Book
Stake
$28.09
Cincinnati Reds away
vs St. Louis Cardinals · 6:15 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+6.8%
Odds
+115
Book
Stake
$31.73
Los Angeles Dodgers away
vs New York Mets · 5:40 PM
Prob
63.8%
Edge
+4.6%
+3.6% consensus
Odds
-145
Book
Stake
$28.46
San Diego Padres away
vs Miami Marlins · 5:40 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+4.5%
+3.5% consensus
Odds
+105
Book
Stake
$22.06
San Francisco Giants home
vs Los Angeles Angels · 8:05 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.9%
+3.2% consensus
Odds
-102
Book
Stake
$19.52
Texas Rangers home
vs Seattle Mariners · 6:35 PM
Prob
54.4%
Edge
+3.4%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
-104
Book
Stake
$17.24
Athletics away
vs Minnesota Twins · 6:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.9%
Odds
+134
Book
Stake
$12.68
Houston Astros away
vs Chicago White Sox · 6:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+2.6%
+1.8% consensus
Odds
-103
Book
Stake
$13.00
Arizona Diamondbacks away
vs Washington Nationals · 5:35 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+1.6%
Odds
-117
Book
Stake
$8.91
Updated 5:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice