Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Sat, May 16

Season: 262-302 (46.5%) · ROI: -2.3%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Miami Marlins away
vs Tampa Bay Rays · 8:10 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+7.8%
+7.1% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$35.96
Pittsburgh Pirates home
vs Philadelphia Phillies · 8:05 PM
Prob
44.4%
Edge
+3.6%
Odds
+145
Book
Stake
$15.31
Chicago Cubs away
vs Chicago White Sox · 11:10 PM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+3.6%
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$18.91
Houston Astros home
vs Texas Rangers · 11:10 PM
Prob
46.7%
Edge
+3.2%
+2.2% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$14.25
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Cleveland Guardians · 10:10 PM
Prob
45.6%
Edge
+2.5%
+2.0% consensus
Odds
+132
Book
Stake
$11.15
Baltimore Orioles away
vs Washington Nationals · 8:05 PM
Prob
53.3%
Edge
+1.4%
+0.7% consensus
Odds
-108
Book
Stake
$7.16
Updated 10:05 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice