Walter Bets

MLB Model Picks — Fri, Apr 17

Season: 83-102 (44.9%) · ROI: +1.0%

Prob = model win probability · Edge = prob minus implied odds prob · Stakes based on $1,000 bankroll, ¼ Kelly sizing
Colorado Rockies home
vs Los Angeles Dodgers · 12:40 AM
Prob
51.8%
Edge
+25.5%
+24.1% consensus
Odds
+280
Book
Stake
$86.63
Tampa Bay Rays away
vs Pittsburgh Pirates · 10:45 PM
Prob
64.8%
Edge
+17.6%
+15.9% consensus
Odds
+112
Book
Stake
$83.24
Texas Rangers away
vs Seattle Mariners · 1:40 AM
Prob
64.1%
Edge
+17.3%
+16.6% consensus
Odds
+114
Book
Stake
$81.38
Los Angeles Angels home
vs San Diego Padres · 1:38 AM
Prob
71.6%
Edge
+16.0%
+15.3% consensus
Odds
-125
Book
Stake
$90.25
Cincinnati Reds away
vs Minnesota Twins · 12:10 AM
Prob
51.4%
Edge
+12.1%
+10.1% consensus
Odds
+154
Book
Stake
$49.81
Detroit Tigers away
vs Boston Red Sox · 11:15 PM
Prob
57.4%
Edge
+10.7%
+9.2% consensus
Odds
+114
Book
Stake
$49.99
Toronto Blue Jays away
vs Arizona Diamondbacks · 1:40 AM
Prob
55.6%
Edge
+10.2%
+9.5% consensus
Odds
+120
Book
Stake
$46.68
Washington Nationals home
vs San Francisco Giants · 10:45 PM
Prob
50.7%
Edge
+7.2%
+6.4% consensus
Odds
+130
Book
Stake
$31.85
Milwaukee Brewers away
vs Miami Marlins · 11:10 PM
Prob
56.8%
Edge
+6.8%
+5.8% consensus
Odds
+100
Book
Stake
$33.80
Updated 10:45 PM UTC · Based on $1,000 bankroll · ¼ Kelly sizing · Not financial advice